INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM MONITOR: PAPER NO. 763
( Written at the request of the “Times of India”. Published
by them on September 9,2012, at http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/sunday-toi/all-that-matters/Doctor-techie-scientist--terrors-new-recruits/articleshow/16318255.cms )
B.RAMAN
The 18 Muslim suspects arrested since August 29
in operations co-ordinated by the
Bengaluru Police are presently under interrogation.
The indications till now are that the suspects, who
have been picked up from Bengaluru and Hubli in Karnataka, Hyderabad and
Maharashtra, had come together with the objective of assassinating certain
individuals identified with the Hindutva ideology.
Though there seems to be some suspicion of their
contacts with the Lashkar-e-Toiba (LET) of Pakistan and the Harkat-ul-Jihad-al-Islami
(HUJI) of Bangladesh, they constituted a new indigenous group with no suspected
links with any of the indigenous terrorist/extremist organisations that have
been active so far such as Al Umma of Tamil Nadu, the Students’ Islamic
Movement of India (SIMI) and the Indian Mujahideen (IM).
The Bengaluru Police seem to have succeeded in
penetrating and dismantling them even before they could give themselves an
organisational infrastructure and an ideological basis.
It was a group of individuals self-motivated by
visiting jihadi sites in the Internet
such as that of Al Qaeda of the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and brought
together by shared anger against Hindutva elements without attempts to form a
central command and control.
The conspiracy seems to have been squashed by the
Police at a very early stage. This is evident from the absence of any major
recoveries of arms and ammunition and explosive material from them
Whereas other jihadi organisations that had
operated in India in the past had made a dual use of hand-held weapons and
improvised explosive devices (IEDs), this group was still in the stage of
hand-held weapons and had not started thinking in terms of IEDs.
Commonly binding anger due to social and religious
discrimination and communal grievances generally tend to motivate the educated,
thinking elements more than others.
It is, therefore, not surprising that all the
suspects came from the educated segments of the Muslim community. It is also to
be noted that the educated elements had studied or were studying subjects such
as medicine, computer science, journalism etc and not humanities.
This trend towards the gravitation of such elements
to leadership positions in the jihadi organisations had been noticed in the
case of the IM too, which had some good IT experts, including one of Pune who
had occupied an important position in the Indian branch of a well-known foreign
IT
company.
Examples of enraged students belonging to such professions
or aspiring to join them gravitating to extremism had been seen in the past not
only in India, but also in Indonesia and Western countries.
A disquieting fact is a junior scientist of the
Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) joining this group. It is
not yet clear whether he joined it on his own or whether he was spotted,
motivated and recruited and what was the purpose.
If he had joined on his own because of anger
against some Hindutva elements, that is understandable. But, if he had been
recruited to penetrate the DRDO, that would be ominous.
According to the police, they made a breakthrough
after keeping some of the suspects under surveillance for four months. There
has been no indication of any significant electronic intelligence through
interception of their telephone conversations.
It has been reported that the suspects were
communicating with each other through Skype. This could be the reason for the
evidently meagre ELINT. This would indicate that our capability for the
interception of communications through the Internet continues to be inadequate.
This needs attention.
As regards external ramifications, there are
suspicions of links with elements in
Pakistan and Saudi Arabia----with the training possibly coming from elements in
Pakistan and the co-ordination from
individuals in Saudi Arabia. These suspicions need to be developed further.
The motivation of the group is still to be
determined. Did they have a strategic motivation of sustained terrorism or had
they merely come together due to common anger over the grievances of Muslims in
order to carry out some assassinations, which one may not be able to
characterise as terrorism.
The conspiracy has spread over three states. The
forensic evidence available so far is not adequate to reconstruct the
conspiracy in a manner that will carry conviction to the courts and the Muslim
community.
Keeping all this in view, it might be better for
the Government of India to direct the
National Investigation Agency to take over the investigation after reaching a
consensus with the three State Governments.
( The writer is Additional Secretary (retd),
Research & Analysis Wing, Cabinet Secretariat, Govt of India.
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