Sunday, September 26, 2010




I have been writing for nearly two years that the so-called community of strategic analysts in Delhi has come to be dominated by a group of wishful-thinkers totally cut off from ground reality and that they have been creating an illusion in our minds about the emergence of India as a major power. My mind goes back to 1962 when a small group of officials, including B.N.Mallick. the then head of the IB, created illusions of our capabilities in the minds of our leaders and people. We paid a heavy price. The current events show we have not learnt the appropriate lessons.I shudder to think what could be the real state of our infrastructure in the North-East. I hope illusions of our strength are not being created there too. The PLA must be closely watching.Moments of humiliation are moments of weakness in the history of a nation.One has to closely watch what the PLA does.

Why India cannot be an Asian power like China ( ARTICLE WRITTEN BY ME IN REDIFF.COM ON NOVEMBER 20,2009)
November 20, 2009 14:39 IST

Power and influence are not given. They are taken. China knows how to take it, India does not, says strategic expert B Raman.

A few observations on the eve of Prime Minister Dr Manmohan Singh visit to the United States from November 23 to 26.

No thinking has been ever done in India as to what it expects out of a long-term strategic relationship with the US. It is always the US which decides what it will give to India and it is New Delhi which accepts.

It was so with the nuclear deal which was offered by then US President George W Bush in July 2005. Manmohan Singh was pleasantly surprised when Bush offered it and then we followed it up. India's expectations from the US in the past were limited to US pressure on Pakistan to stop using terrorism against India, removal of restrictions on the supply of modern dual-use technology to India and US support for India's permanent membership of the United Nations Security Council.

They remain the same. Any strategic relationship has to be a quid pro quo relationship. Since the US has hardly any dependence on India in any matter, there is no scope for any quid pro quo.

India visualises itself as an Asian power on par with China. Beijing does not see it this way. China views India as a sub-regional Asian power and wants to keep its influence restricted to its immediate neighbourhood. US president Barack Obama's visit to China has uncomfortably brought out to India that there is a convergence of perceptions between China and the Obama Administration on the limited regional role of India.

China's pre-eminence has been recognised by Obama. Obama has re-hyphenated India-Pakistan relations and quietly relegated India to the role of a sub-regional power whose aspirations of having a status on par with China are unrealistic.

In geopolitical matters, there is no futuristic thinking in India. The quality of Indian thinking and analysis -- strategic and tactical -- is poor. What passes for analysis in India is just wishful-thinking.

Nobody in India has realised and brought out that for the first time the US, Japan and Australia have a leadership which does not rate highly India's potential as an emerging power. There is less and less talk of Chindia. Even today, many in India are not aware that the new Japanese government is not as enthusiastic about India as the previous government was. There has been no exercise in India to analyse future scenarios in US-Japan relationship.

Someone once said that power and influence are not given. They are taken. China has shown how to take it. India does not have the political will and courage to fight for it and take it. It is hoping that the US will give it. Bush and Condoleezza Rice seemed inclined to bestow on India the status of an Asian power on par with China. The Obama Administration does not seem to be so inclined.
B Raman


ambi said...

Indeed! CWG fiasco was damn rude awakening. My mind is still not ready to accept that all this is really happening. It is indeed a trauma. Manmohan, Sonia, all others are indeed fallen heroes. Naam bade aur lakshan khote. By depending on these incompetent guys, we were & still are living in a fool’s paradise. As Chinese like to call us, we are really low IQ Indiots, No doubts about it. Hum log sirf lambi lambi chodna jaante hain, aur kuch nahin!

And worst thing is that our leadership’s mental level is such that they don’t understand what certain thing’s implications can be. Even after doing all this its still a normal day for them. Itna paani ki tarah paisa bahaya, sab bekkar hua. What Sonia, Manomhan & others have done is unforgivable. This is the country where Dhiru Bhai Ambani used to say “Don’t meet the targets, just beat the targets.” They have humiliated my country for no reason. It’s a cardinal sin. Earlier I use to give benefit of doubt to manmohan Singh. But more & more I am convinced, he is equal partner in crime. I really want to see resignations of all these guys.

As you have rightly pointed out sir, there are many similarities in 1962 & 2010. both brought us humiliations. As I said in one of my earlier comments, like Nehru, Manmohan Singh has become a civilian dictator. A smug! Who just don’t care about others? Oh God just leave it. The less talk about these guys the better.

H H Dalai Lama & our Afghan friends must be scratching their heads while thinking, ‘these Indians are talking about supporting us, but should we trust them? These idiots can’t even help themselves, leave alone helping us. ‘Bevkufon, jo boond se gayi who haud se nahin aati!’

May be my post ll be deleted, still trying!

Raghu said...

Just read Arun Shourie's "Are we Deceiving Ourselves Again?" to know where we stand with regard to China.The Kkangress and the Communists have taken us down this path.

ravinder said...

:) people are waking up.

That is certain progress.

Something good will come out of this.

BTW, it is nice to see Mr. Raman not reposing too much faith in the sorry bunch of babalog.

Raman sahab it is the people that will do something not the GoI.

And people need to be told to be able to make up their mind. Your views (except the ones that sound like a congressi appologist) are just too important to be confined to a blog. How can these views be taken public. Kindly do think on them.

ravinder said...


thanks for the lead.

The HT article on Arun Shourie's "Are we Deceiving Ourselves Again?" shows how a clear mind works.