tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4704148890264843595.post16459369563909154..comments2024-03-27T03:46:07.097-07:00Comments on Raman's strategic analysis: CHINA : A WAKE-UP CALL FOR VIETNAM & INDIAB.RAMANhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12278000644746170031noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4704148890264843595.post-33074932251332927502010-08-10T00:36:06.678-07:002010-08-10T00:36:06.678-07:00And basically China-Pak know that there is no one ...And basically China-Pak know that there is no one to stop them. US and NATO are at the mercy of Pakistan in Afghanistan, Islamic world is sure to support Pakistan, Russia is too weak and currently engaged in Chechnya (and being neutral to China, may not want to oppose it other than diplomatic sanctions), East Asia, ASEAN and Australiasia are too dependant on China economically, and India's own neigbours would love to see India in a soup. Our appeasement policies will ensure that home-grown extremists are not threatened. Infact, Pakistan will take care of the fall-out from Western countries, China from the Eastern Countries and our weak administration will take care of easy passage for internal enemies. <br /><br />The China-Pak nexus is well thought off and well planned. They have carefully laid out the ground work and their net is spreading - on our western, Northern and Easter Borders. On other fronts, our neighbours are indirectly aligned with wither Pak or China. In the virtual world China is miles ahead in cyber warfare.<br /><br />Remember, China invaded India in 1962 when US and Soviet Union were both busy and distracted in solving the Cuban Missile crisis. Similarly, the world is currently distracted in Af-Pak and will have no time or energy to come to India's aid. The situation may not be alarming yet, and many will dismiss this as fear-mongering...but this same complacency caught us off-gaurd in 1962 (China) and 1999 (Kargil). It is better to be fully prepared!Wikihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11161119866067734752noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4704148890264843595.post-54537227465244355632010-08-09T21:14:33.969-07:002010-08-09T21:14:33.969-07:00I believe Pakistan and China have sensed that the ...I believe Pakistan and China have sensed that the current political scenario in India is of complete and utter confusion. India is being led by a leader and party that has absolutely no control over the economy, the military or the public. The UPA government is incompetent, corrupt and unable of taking hard/tough decisions. The general public and the security forces are completely demoralized and the general modd in India is of helplessness and gloom. In short, if a war is the answer to make India agree to the demands of Pak-China, the time is NOW!! The window of opportunity is until 2014 when a more competent and administratively more capable government is sure to replace UPA.<br /><br />-This is what China-Pak believe...<br /><br />The symptoms are already there...China-Pak meetings have become increasingly frequent. Pakistan has begun creating trouble in Kashmir. Maoists have upped the ante and NE insurgents are ever more aggressive. None of the extremist groups are wiling to come to the negotiating table with India. And finally china is making massive arrangements in Tibet.<br /><br />Between now and 2014, I would expect some sort of a huge combined China-Pak-Maoist-NE Insurgent-Home Grown Terrorist attack on India...<br /><br />We have to be careful....the storm clouds are gathering and UPA has ensured that India is currently without a roof over its head!Wikihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11161119866067734752noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4704148890264843595.post-5464126413260413372010-08-09T10:55:07.264-07:002010-08-09T10:55:07.264-07:00I may be wrong, but I really feel that China’s con...I may be wrong, but I really feel that China’s confrontation with India will be a strategic decision, while confrontation with Vietnam ll be a political one.<br /><br /> Chinese economy will explode in couple of years & situation will turn from bad to worse. There ll be massive outburst. There ll be real threat to Communist Party of China. I ll be really surprised if new guy who replaces Hu does not invite confrontation with Vietnam, as Deng did earlier. As many PLA officers privately admit that no strategic achievement was made when Deng invited confrontation with Vietnam then. All good blood was lost for nothing. It was a political decision to divert Chinese public attention from internal matters & strengthen Deng’s hold on Party & PRC, which he did. Right now also, new guy who replaces Hu can do so, by inviting confrontation with Vietnam. He ll achieve many things by doing so. It ll help him to divert Chinese public attention from internal matters, thus strengthening his grip over Party & China. Thus it ll also Show to world that China is serious about its ‘core interests’ & ll not compromise over it. US has humiliated it & hurt Party’s ego in front of its own public by showing who rules the water. So it ll give Party the chance to show who rules the water.<br /><br /> Now it is the duty of allies of Vietnam like USA & others to ensure that this confrontation ll be prohibitively costly for PRC & thus it shld refrain from it.<br /><br /> Confrontation with India ll be a strategic decision with sure strategic goals to achieve. They ld not like to invite confrontation with India until & unless they are 100 % sure of achieving them. If they are not sure of achieving those goals they ll back out. More then military threat China poses real threat in terms of massive cyber warfare & espionage & sabotage of communications & command & control. Normal military confrontations with India ll consume lots of its time money energy & manpower. Now it is duty of New Delhi to ensure that to make this confrontation prohibitively costly for PRC & thus refraining from it.ambihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09709973254351931979noreply@blogger.com