Tuesday, May 14, 2013

CHINESE PRIME MINISTER'S VISIT TO INDIA


 



B.RAMAN

Prime Minister Li Kequiang of China, who took over  in March last, is to visit India, Pakistan, Switzerland and Germany during his first round of overseas visits after taking over as the Prime Minister.

2. His clubbing together his visits to India and Pakistan on his way to Europe indicates the equal importance which the newly-elected Chinese leadership attaches to China’s relations with India and Pakistan.

3. The visit to India from May 19 to 21 threatened to come under a cloud following the intrusion by a platoon of PLA troops into Indian  territory in the Daulat Beg Oldie area of Eastern Ladakh on April 15 and their camping in tents there for nearly three weeks.

4.The resulting stand-off between Chinese and Indian troops of the Indo-Tibetan Border Police (ITBP) created trans-Line of Actual Control tensions and led to demands in India for the postponement of the visit of our Foreign Minister Salman Khurshid to Beijing to make preparations for Li’s visit. The stand-off also revived the distrust of China in Indian strategic circles.

5. The two countries managed to avert an embarrassing postponement of the visits by agreeing on the restoration of the status quo ante. The Chinese troops then vacated the Indian territory into which they had intruded.

6. Two questions remain unclear. Firstly, why did the Chinese troops intrude into this area even at the risk of their intrusion casting a shadow on the first visit of their new Prime Minister to India? Secondly, was there an Indian quid pro quo for the Chinese withdrawal? Sections of the Indian media had reported that India had  agreed to remove some temporary infrastructure like bunkers for sheltering patrolling Indian troops from its territory. If media accounts of the quid pro quo are correct, it could ultimately turn out to be to the detriment of our sovereignty claims in that area.

7.While the Ministry of Defence of the Government of India has been a little more forthcoming on the Indian right to build defensive and logistics infrastructure in our territory, the Ministry of External Affairs has been evasive.

8.Ever since Xi Jinping took over as the General Secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC) in November last year, he has been talking of the need for a border settlement “ as early as possible.” The previous leaderships used to talk of the need for time and patience in reaching a border accord and for not allowing this to come in the way of the development of the bilateral relations in the economic and other fields. India had been going along with this formulation of the past leaderships.

9. From the various remarks of Xi  on Sino-Indian relations since he took over, it would seem that he wants a time-frame for finding a border accord without allowing the pressure for a time-frame coming in the way of strengthening relations in other fields. The recent intrusion, in this regard, could be interpreted as an attempt by the new leadership to press the need for a solution “ as early as possible” without letting the negotiations drag on endlessly.

10. It would be in India’s interest too to work for a border accord “as early as possible.” At the same time, India should not accept the Chinese formulation that the absence of a border accord should not come in the way of the economic and other relations. This formulation has immensely benefitted China.

11.Much of the delay till now has been due to Beijing dragging its feet on exchanging maps of  the line of actual control, which has to be the first step. During the forthcoming visit of the Chinese Prime Minister, we should make it clear that we too want a border accord “ as early as possible”, but this would depend upon the Chinese taking the first step of exchanging maps of the LAC which have to be the basis of further negotiations.

12. We should also make it clear that relations in the economic and other fields cannot improve without satisfactory progress in the border talks.  (15-5-13)

( The writer is Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt of India, New Delhi, and, presently, Director, Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai, and Associate of the Chennai Centre for China Studies. Twitter: @SORBONNE75  )

 

70 comments:

joydeep ghosh said...

@Raman sir

its all happening bcoz India has never asserted its points and put its foot down. had India been proactive in intelligence 1959 or 1962 wouldnt have happened.

What has happened is gone what can be recovered is the concern. Its known that the 'neela kitaab' of chinese says good words but problem is words dont matter much until written

as per the diplomacy language something written in main text has one meaning, same thing written in sub text has different meaning, same thing written in note/subnotes has different meaning, and written in annexure has entirely different meaning.

The Chinese are very good at that, however India has said settlememt of boundary dispute must serve strategic issues.

India giving away the entire Aksai Chin in return for China giving up claim for AP doesnt help India strategically as it has to meet public aspiration also it must be known that catchment area around Indus are believed to hold lot of minerals & oil that remain unexplored.

China claims AP but doesnt hold it but holds Aksai Chin. so if it want to solve boundary issue it has to give up area in that part. that is why China must give up area till west of Aksai Chin road they built in 1959 to settle the dispute.

As the area to east of road doesnt mean anything to India but holding on to areas to its west will help India vis a vis Pak and exploring & using natural resources as well. It doesnt serve China to hold area west of that road.

What is more important that India put its claim to the west of Aksai Chin road bcoz if it doesnt then China which has a habit of grabbing land from its neighboring nations will claim the entire Aksai Chin & Ladakh rendering Siachen undefensable. If that happens it will allow Pakistan to declare Gilgit Baltistan as part of Pakistan, which will be a great loss for India.

Whatever it is we can say a lot on the net but it wont have any bearing on the diplomatic level as the people in that position wont listen to you or me.

thanks

Joydeep Ghosh

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What They don't Want You to Know said...

here is a more telling analysis by one not in awe of Congress....http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/chinese-soldiers-set-up-camp-in-india-by-brahma-chellaney

rustom said...

oN B.Raman’s
” The two countries managed to avert an embarrassing postponement of the visits by agreeing on the restoration of the status quo ante.”

Averting embarrassment!!!!..whom are we fooling Mr Raman..Isnt it embarrassing that the IAS,IFS,MOD still want to yap yap after their yapping has failed on all fronts be it invasion of Indian territory or beheading of Indian soldiers. The ilk of the author has no embarrassment when Indians who have served the armed forces of India are taken as Chinese citizenship by China as they are from Arunachal pradesh, more embarrassing is the silence on this issue by India’s supreme commander the President due to the hibernation inculcated about the knowledge of the subject and wrong advise of the Babus. So Mr Raman about averting embarrassment,your statement is completely off track … or just as the whole of IAS,IFS and MOD , you are still in tune with’ close ones eyes and think no one is looking”syndrome. Isnt it embarassing that members of the armed forces hailing from AP have had their visit to China cancelled due to chinese pressure that they are actually Chinese. Catalyst to the embarassment is PM Manmohan Singhs remark of ” Its a localised action”. So if Delhi is taken, would and should one in the southern command see it as localised action and not bother about it?Obviously PM has been thrusted this sentence by the ilk you served byIf analyses are necessary, they are on lines of why , on what basis, on what experience do unqualified people get jobs that fill in the IAS, IFS and the MoD..Starting from the President himself and on those who have occupied the seat of RAW in recent years spoiling the hard work of the likes of Mr Kao and Mag Gen SS Uban. If analyses are to be taken, its time to do it on lines of what makes India yap and not Act when Indian territory is compromised or when Indian soldiers are beheaded. Perhaps the analyses on the point at the beg of the paragraph will answer that

2)In fact lets see 'Embarrassment" as seen by 2 different countries on the same issue in the past 2 days itself....
United Kingdom: - A soldier gets killed by goons in Briton and the whole nation is not only aghast but ACTS ( READ NOT YAP)...and the actions have spoken louder than words...
India:3 soldiers got killed in A CONTINUOS WAR in the kashmir valley and this is hid by the tremors of IPL, Bollywood dances, TRP rating and ramblings and perhaps the PM gets his dose of 'High'..security being tight from such news and thus states the security is at the highest when weeks ago Indian territory was encroached upon and months ago Indian soldiers were beheaded.

rustom said...

oN B.Raman’s
” The two countries managed to avert an embarrassing postponement of the visits by agreeing on the restoration of the status quo ante.”

Averting embarrassment!!!!..whom are we fooling Mr Raman..Isnt it embarrassing that the IAS,IFS,MOD still want to yap yap after their yapping has failed on all fronts be it invasion of Indian territory or beheading of Indian soldiers. The ilk of the author has no embarrassment when Indians who have served the armed forces of India are taken as Chinese citizenship by China as they are from Arunachal pradesh, more embarrassing is the silence on this issue by India’s supreme commander the President due to the hibernation inculcated about the knowledge of the subject and wrong advise of the Babus. So Mr Raman about averting embarrassment,your statement is completely off track … or just as the whole of IAS,IFS and MOD , you are still in tune with’ close ones eyes and think no one is looking”syndrome. Isnt it embarassing that members of the armed forces hailing from AP have had their visit to China cancelled due to chinese pressure that they are actually Chinese. Catalyst to the embarassment is PM Manmohan Singhs remark of ” Its a localised action”. So if Delhi is taken, would and should one in the southern command see it as localised action and not bother about it?Obviously PM has been thrusted this sentence by the ilk you served byIf analyses are necessary, they are on lines of why , on what basis, on what experience do unqualified people get jobs that fill in the IAS, IFS and the MoD..Starting from the President himself and on those who have occupied the seat of RAW in recent years spoiling the hard work of the likes of Mr Kao and Mag Gen SS Uban. If analyses are to be taken, its time to do it on lines of what makes India yap and not Act when Indian territory is compromised or when Indian soldiers are beheaded. Perhaps the analyses on the point at the beg of the paragraph will answer that

2)In fact lets see 'Embarrassment" as seen by 2 different countries on the same issue in the past 2 days itself....
United Kingdom: - A soldier gets killed by goons in Briton and the whole nation is not only aghast but ACTS ( READ NOT YAP)...and the actions have spoken louder than words...
India:3 soldiers got killed in A CONTINUOS WAR in the kashmir valley and this is hid by the tremors of IPL, Bollywood dances, TRP rating and ramblings and perhaps the PM gets his dose of 'High'..security being tight from such news and thus states the security is at the highest when weeks ago Indian territory was encroached upon and months ago Indian soldiers were beheaded.

Akshaya Handa said...

Sir,
Long time no post. Hope all is well. We, your followers are missing your detailed analysis.

Wiki said...

Where is B. Raman? Has anyone checked on him?

RAJ47 said...

Sir
RIP
You taught me a lot.

PrabhuG said...

The great legend is no more.The person who have given his entire life for this great nation.People like him make this country proud.I am proud to have lived in the era the kao boy have lived.

His courage in fighting cancer and his transparency in that information is a example to the rest of the ruling class in India.

Kushal said...

Rest in peace Dear Raman.

rgds

Kushal

Shital Gandhi said...

Dear All readers,

Bahutkumbi Raman, one of the founders of the Research and Analysis Wing, India [ Images ]’s external intelligence agency, and one of India’s foremost security experts, passed away in Chennai on Sunday evening after a prolonged battle against cancer. He was 77.


Mr Raman was a prolific writer on terrorism and internal security, and was a regular contributor to Rediff.com till the very end.

We will miss him as a dear colleague and a friend.

Rest in Peace Sir, We salute to your immeasurable contribution to this nation. Rest in Peace.!!1

Sincerely Yours
Indian

SM said...

RIP. You have taught me a lot.

मुमुक्षु अगस्त्य said...

RIP Sir.

JR said...

RIP Sir. You will be missed a lot

sengupta said...

RIP Sir

kamal said...

SIR, REST IN PEACE.
MANY TIMES, I HAD WANTED TO POST A COMMENT FOR YOUR POSTS.

BUT WHEN I WANT TO COMMENT, YOU ARE NO MORE.

REST IN PEACE SIR. MAY YOUR SPIRIT BE A GUIDING ANGEL FOR US WHO WANT TO SEE OUR INDIA AS MIGHTY INDIA. - KAMAL

Rajeev said...

So many times, I disagreed with you sir but I was fan and a regular reader. Many in India and world will miss your analysis.

Wanderer said...

Ramanji .....you were a true patriot ....may your soul be at peace

Unknown said...

RIP sir.

prince kadyan said...

RIP Sir
Your dedication and energy till the last breath for your selfless passion will inspire us throughout our lives.

Cato Elder said...

A true Indian till his last breath , he worked tirelessly in spreading his counter terrorism knowledge.
Many of us have him to thank for so many preventions.
RIP Sir - May You Rest In Peace.

sbm said...

Rest in Peace Sir. You have served India and Indians with great distinction and integrity.

You have earned your rest. God's speed.

Siva Chinnasamy said...

RIP Sir. You are a patriot and hard worker. An inspiration to today's youth.

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